Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the fringe
It’s not that believers in conspiracy theories are massively overconfident; there is no data on that, because the studies didn’t set out to quantify the degree of overconfidence, per Pennycook. Rather, “They’re overconfident, and they massively overestimate how much people agree with them,” he said.
I wonder how much of that false confidence comes from people smiling and nodding because they just want the conspiracy theorist to shut the fuck up already 🙃